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All business proceeds on beliefs, or judgments of probabilities, and not on certainties.
All business proceeds on beliefs, or judgements of probabilities, and not on certainties.
Philosophy goes no further than probabilities, and in every assertion keeps a doubt in reserve.
Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties.
It is impossible to trap modern physics into predicting anything with perfect determinism because it deals with probabilities from the outset.
We don't know the probabilities of future events. Still, you have to take action, and so you do it on gut feeling. That's the world we live in.
Religious faith depends on a host of social, psychological and emotional factors that have little or nothing to do with probabilities, evidence and logic.
Hope is not the basis for policy. Wise policymakers analyze major issues such as immigration carefully and look at facts and probabilities instead of just hoping for the best.
Genes work with probabilities; they don't work with certainties. So most things that you're looking at with these genetic tests, it's not like you're condemned to automatically get the disease or the syndrome. There's a lot of factors in play there.
Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change expectation into certainty, and leave nether room nor demand for a theory of probabilities.
The beauty of any conspiracy theory is that because it can't be proved, that just makes it more 'real.' It's not a question of believing or not believing, really; it's more a question of just accepting a series of probabilities that lead to an undeniable conclusion.
I find fault with my children because I like them and I want them to go places - uprightness and strength and courage and civil respect and anything that affects the probabilities of failure on the part of those that are closest to me, that concerns me - I find fault.
The true and the approximately true are apprehended by the same faculty; it may also be noted that men have a sufficient natural instinct for what is true, and usually do arrive at the truth. Hence the man who makes a good guess at truth is likely to make a good guess at probabilities.
People don't realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but that's as far as we go. And I've had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward. The number of mistakes I have made are just awesome. There is no number large enough to account for that.